The past few years have been marked by overlapping global disruptions – from regional conflicts and trade tensions to persistent inflation and supply-chain bottlenecks. These headwinds are no longer temporary shocks. They are shaping a new baseline for how businesses operate.
According to the IMF, global growth forecasts have been downgraded to 2.8% in 2025 and 3% in 2026, down from a January 2025 forecast of 3.3% for both years, underlining the sense of ongoing uncertainty. For accountants, this means shifting focus from explaining what has happened to anticipating what could happen next. They also need the right tools available to them to deliver that service. Clients need clarity, forward-looking insight and operational support that helps them stay resilient, particularly those with international footprints or cross-border payment needs.
Global conflicts and the cascading effect on costs
Geopolitical tensions and regional conflicts continue to impact energy markets, shipping routes and supply chains. Add on to that, things like changes to tariffs from key trading partners and you have a recipe for increased volatility. According to Global Trade Review, “Swiss Re estimates that global supply chain disruptions now cost businesses US$184bn annually.”
Accountants will increasingly be expected to interpret these global events through a financial lens, modelling external pressures, forecasting cost implications and helping decision-makers navigate trade-offs. For clients operating across multiple jurisdictions, these pressures are compounded by differing regulatory requirements and changing levels of banking infrastructure.
In practice, these challenges heighten the value of having reliable access to international payment rails and a payment infrastructure that is less likely to be impacted by global uncertainty. By introducing clients to specialist payment service providers, they can also reduce administrative burdens, improve transparency and get more accurate reporting and reconciliation – alongside the potential for reduced costs.
Inflation pressures make foresight essential
Inflation may have eased in certain markets, but underlying pressures remain stubbornly high and the pressure on employers to provide competitive wages is not going away. According to OECD data, wages in real terms remain below levels seen in 2021, in two thirds of countries. Meanwhile, financing costs remain significantly higher than any point in the previous decade.
In this environment, accountants must move beyond backward-looking analysis. As we’ll look at more below, AI-driven tools have a potentially important role to play in predicting cost trends, identifying inefficiencies and enabling scenario-based planning so businesses can act before conditions deteriorate.
For clients that are doing business internationally, Foreign Exchange volatility adds another layer of complexity. Sudden currency movements often triggered by political announcements or tariff changes can alter the value of a transaction. It’s impossible to predict events before they happen but having access to transparent Foreign Exchange tools and support will help accountants mitigate these risks. It should also help them to present clients with a more informed and robust forecast.
A world where headwinds are constant
As it stands, economic cycles are not providing long pauses between shocks. Whether it’s geopolitical events, technological innovations, regulatory changes or financial headwinds, there is a lot that could impact exchange rates, and business performance. In other words, with greater overlap between headwinds economic stability is harder to come by.
For accountants, this makes flexibility essential. Clients, particularly those operating internationally, expect timely payments, accurate reconciliation and visibility across different regions. Without the right infrastructure, this can create unnecessary administrative strain.
Software that consolidates accounts, reduces reliance on fragmented banking systems and automates cross-border workflows are becoming critical. These tools allow accountants to deliver more responsive service while freeing up time for strategic planning and budgeting.
AI and technology as strategic enablers
We all know the role technology can play in advancing a firm’s ambitions. But it must be done with strategy in mind and implemented effectively across businesses as opposed to tacked on in a rushed attempt to keep up. AI’s value to the accounting profession is expanding rapidly. In the next few years, I believe it’s real strength will be in its ability to analyse vast streams of operational and financial data, detect emerging risks and simulate future outcomes with increasing accuracy.
At the same time, more integrated finance systems are reducing the friction traditionally associated with international operations. This can include real time payments and multi-currency accounts. This shift frees accountants to concentrate on higher-value advisory work and positions them as central strategic partners to their clients.
AI is no longer a concept of the future – it is here today, and embracing it offers accounting firms significant opportunities to streamline processes, enhance accuracy, and deliver greater value to their clients.
Conclusion: The future belongs to the future-ready
By 2026, the accountants delivering the most value will be those who combine technological literacy with strategic foresight, and who leverage partnerships that support efficiency and international capability.
Firms that embed these capabilities into their day-to-day operations will be far better positioned to meet the expectations of their clients. That means building processes that can flex as conditions shift, investing in tools that provide real-time visibility, and strengthening the firm’s ability to operate confidently across borders.
Practical steps might include reviewing where manual workflows still create delays, assessing whether current banking and payment arrangements remain fit for purpose, and identifying where predictive analytics can sharpen planning cycles. Ultimately, the firms that thrive will be those that treat volatility not as a disruption to manage, but as a constant to prepare for.
In a world shaped by high costs, global disruption and rapid digital evolution, organisations need advisers who can anticipate risks, navigate complexity and build financial resilience. Modern platforms and specialist partners are increasingly part of that solution.
The profession is no longer about keeping pace with change. It’s about staying ahead of it.
